A Silver Dime Worth a Day's Wage?
                      It is Perhaps History that Shouts 'Buy'
                 Louder than Anything Else

Let me explain:

  • For thousands of years a silver coin (equivalent in weight to today's dime)
    was worth a day's wage.  Whether the Greek drachma or  the Roman denarius,
    this 'dime' payed the workman for a day's worth of work.  Even as little as one
    hundred years ago in the United States of America a silver dollar was all that was
    needed (see here for proof).  Today, with silver at $7.65/oz, these same silver
    dimes can be purchased from a local coin dealer for around $.50 each!  Using a
    $15/hour wage rate and multiplying it by an 8/hour workday yields a daily wage of
    $120.  After dividing this modern wage by the historical standard, a $.50 silver
    dime, one discovers the amazing truth that silver is undervalued by a factor of at
    least 240!  In fact, buying a bag of 90% silver dimes today for about $5,000,
    includes 10,000 of these dimes, which translates into 38 years of earned wages if
    one were to work 5 days/week!  That same bag, if the historic norms were to return,
    would command a monetary value of 1.2M dollars.  In 1980, this same bag of coins
    could buy a comfortable home for you and your family.

  • For about 500 years, from the mid 1400's to the mid 1900's, it took between
    15-20 ounces of silver to buy one ounce of gold.  This is referred to as the
    silver/gold ratio.  As you might have guessed it,  today (10/24/05) that ratio stands at
    a very lopsided 61/1 (silver/gold).

                                
             Why Such an Imbalance?

Simple.  Today no nation today uses silver as money.  Instead, everyone trusts in the myth
that is
fiat.  This demand for real money began to slip as early as the late 19th century,
and finally dropped off completely in the late 1960's.  But worldwide demand for silver is
still out-pacing the supply by between 50-150 million ounces per year even without
monetary demand!  The reason for this imbalance is the emergence of modern industry
following WWII, and now even more so today in our electronic age.  The world is
consuming silver like never before.

Understanding this, one must then come to terms with the main difference between
industrial and monetary demand.  When used for industrial purposes, silver is consumed,
and much of it will never to return to the market again (barring, of course, an incredibly
dramatic rise in price to justify the cost of recycling very minute bits of silver).

Though it is impossible* to know the exact amount of above ground supply of silver left in
the world when including such items as jewelry and silverware in the evaluation, it isn't
nearly as hard to happen upon the numbers for accessible silver (able to be used
industrially at the current prices) left in the world.  As of 2005, this number stands at less
than 300 million ounces, which equates to a very insubstantial dollar amount of $2.3
billion.  Two billion dollars, after all, is only about 2 days worth of the USA's ongoing trade
deficit.  

*I'm currently working on some articles that may prove this statement otherwise.

When including the silverware, jewelry, and other miscellaneous items, a reasonable
estimate would be between 15-20 billion ounces of silver left in the world (the vast majority
of it in a form that cannot be used industrially barring a sharp rise in price).  Keep in mind
that this is all that is left of the estimated 40 billion ounces mined in the history of
mankind.  Amazingly, the missing 20-25 billion ounces was consumed by industry in less
than one hundred years starting at the turn of the 20th century.  But, nevertheless, some
might wonder whether it is conceivable that this jewelry and silverware would come to
market and stop silver from rising*.  Undoubtedly some would be sold if prices were to
rise much higher, perhaps in the range of  $40-50/oz.  But even at these prices it isn't
likely that more than a few hundred million ounces would find its way back, since, among
other reasons, silver held in these forms represents a peoples life savings in many parts
of the world where it is unwise to save paper money.  A rise in price might only serve to
encourage more saving in this manner, as it is likely that at the same time all paper
currencies will perform poorly.

*I'm also working on an extensive article dealing with this subject.

But let's not worry about these 'ifs', suffice it to say that before much of this silver would
ever come to market, silver would have already caught the attention of some major
financial giants and mutual funds, not to mention ten's of millions of American's, Asians
and Europeans, who would have hopefully by then woken up to the corrupt system of
unjust weights and measures in the form of 'broken promises (i.e, paper currency) under
which they now live.  Why not wait to argue about these fundamental shifts that occur in the
silver market after a gain of some 700% over today's prices.

Besides, even if a very large amount of this silver supply were to be sold onto the market
in the event of a high and sustained silver price, it would still be financial 'child's play' to
the world's 691 billionaires all wanting a piece of the action.  After all, what's another 10
billion dollars worth of silver introduced into the market, when the market commands an
unreal potential investment pool of $764,628,208,195 US dollars and cents (total amount
of all U.S. Paper currency & coin in circulation as of June, 2005
http://www.fms.treas.
gov/bulletin/index.html) With this in mind, it certainly isn't hard to imagine where the
investor demand will come from.  Many millions of men and women will inevitably become
magnetically attracted once again to the precious metals scene as all their previously
'precious' paper currencies continue to inflate.

                                  Silver in Scripture Home
Disclaimer:

*This material is not copyrighted, and I encourage its reproduction as long as my name and website are
mentioned.  Make sure you do your own due diligence before investing in any stock or commodity.  I am
not a
financial advisor.  


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