| A Silver Dime Worth a Day's Wage? It is Perhaps History that Shouts 'Buy' Louder than Anything Else Let me explain:
Why Such an Imbalance? Simple. Today no nation today uses silver as money. Instead, everyone trusts in the myth that is fiat. This demand for real money began to slip as early as the late 19th century, and finally dropped off completely in the late 1960's. But worldwide demand for silver is still out-pacing the supply by between 50-150 million ounces per year even without monetary demand! The reason for this imbalance is the emergence of modern industry following WWII, and now even more so today in our electronic age. The world is consuming silver like never before. Understanding this, one must then come to terms with the main difference between industrial and monetary demand. When used for industrial purposes, silver is consumed, and much of it will never to return to the market again (barring, of course, an incredibly dramatic rise in price to justify the cost of recycling very minute bits of silver). Though it is impossible* to know the exact amount of above ground supply of silver left in the world when including such items as jewelry and silverware in the evaluation, it isn't nearly as hard to happen upon the numbers for accessible silver (able to be used industrially at the current prices) left in the world. As of 2005, this number stands at less than 300 million ounces, which equates to a very insubstantial dollar amount of $2.3 billion. Two billion dollars, after all, is only about 2 days worth of the USA's ongoing trade deficit. *I'm currently working on some articles that may prove this statement otherwise. When including the silverware, jewelry, and other miscellaneous items, a reasonable estimate would be between 15-20 billion ounces of silver left in the world (the vast majority of it in a form that cannot be used industrially barring a sharp rise in price). Keep in mind that this is all that is left of the estimated 40 billion ounces mined in the history of mankind. Amazingly, the missing 20-25 billion ounces was consumed by industry in less than one hundred years starting at the turn of the 20th century. But, nevertheless, some might wonder whether it is conceivable that this jewelry and silverware would come to market and stop silver from rising*. Undoubtedly some would be sold if prices were to rise much higher, perhaps in the range of $40-50/oz. But even at these prices it isn't likely that more than a few hundred million ounces would find its way back, since, among other reasons, silver held in these forms represents a peoples life savings in many parts of the world where it is unwise to save paper money. A rise in price might only serve to encourage more saving in this manner, as it is likely that at the same time all paper currencies will perform poorly. *I'm also working on an extensive article dealing with this subject. But let's not worry about these 'ifs', suffice it to say that before much of this silver would ever come to market, silver would have already caught the attention of some major financial giants and mutual funds, not to mention ten's of millions of American's, Asians and Europeans, who would have hopefully by then woken up to the corrupt system of unjust weights and measures in the form of 'broken promises (i.e, paper currency) under which they now live. Why not wait to argue about these fundamental shifts that occur in the silver market after a gain of some 700% over today's prices. Besides, even if a very large amount of this silver supply were to be sold onto the market in the event of a high and sustained silver price, it would still be financial 'child's play' to the world's 691 billionaires all wanting a piece of the action. After all, what's another 10 billion dollars worth of silver introduced into the market, when the market commands an unreal potential investment pool of $764,628,208,195 US dollars and cents (total amount of all U.S. Paper currency & coin in circulation as of June, 2005 http://www.fms.treas. gov/bulletin/index.html) With this in mind, it certainly isn't hard to imagine where the investor demand will come from. Many millions of men and women will inevitably become magnetically attracted once again to the precious metals scene as all their previously 'precious' paper currencies continue to inflate. Silver in Scripture Home Disclaimer: *This material is not copyrighted, and I encourage its reproduction as long as my name and website are mentioned. Make sure you do your own due diligence before investing in any stock or commodity. I am not a financial advisor. |
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