Bureau of Mines Minerals Yearbook (1933-1993)

 

Part 1: The World’s Cumulative Gold and Silver Production

By David Zurbuchen

 

www.silverinscripture.com

Free Silver Stock Investment Newsletter

 

 

This is the first installment of a planned 7-part series:

 

Part 1 – The World’s Cumulative Silver and Gold Production.  Documenting the total amount of silver and gold produced since recorded history.

 

Part 2 – The Silver Deficit.  Documenting the silver production/consumption deficit since 1939.

 

Part 3 – The Real Silver Deficit.  Answering the questions of “How much silver has been consumed by industry?” and “In what potentially marketable accessible forms does it remain?”

 

Part 4 – The Illogical Performance of the Gold to Silver ratio Since 1848. Looking at silver and gold’s production growth since 1848, and contrasting both this measurement and that of their shrinking ratio of comparative rarity to the ever-widening market price ratio between the two.

 

Part 5 – Why the Depressed Prices?  A brief look at the amount of silver stockpiles held in the early 1900’s, as well as some interesting quotes dating back several decades that made the bullish case for silver, unwittingly or not.

 

Part 6 – What Happened in 1980?  Did production increase?  Did extraordinary amounts of scrap silver come to market? -- What to expect in any future stratospheric price rise.

 

Part 7 – The Future of Silver.  An overview of silver’s fundamentals, focusing in on industrial usage and it’s growing number of applications.  Also included will be my own short and long-term outlook, together with price predictions for 2006 and beyond.

 

Preface

 

I’m a relatively new face in the gold and silver bug community, and while attempting to conduct research of my own I found it frustrating that there did not seem to be any sort of comprehensive data source dealing with the subjects of silver and gold production and consumption.  In an effort to change this, I’ve spent several hundred hours this past month perusing through thousands of pages of documents (namely, the Minerals Yearbooks (1933-2004)).  It is my hope that this series of articles will serve as reliable reference material for all future writers, researchers, believers and skeptics, saving them all much time and effort better spent breaking new ground in the ever thickening plot behind…

 

 Those precious two,

Of gold and silver hue,

“You missed them too?”

 “Boy, how they flew!”

 

 

Cumulative World Silver Production

 

Source 1

 

USGS (United States Geological Survey)

http://pubs.usgs.gov/of/2004/1251/2004-1251.pdf

 

Total silver production from pre-history till 2001 is estimated by the U.S. Geological Survey (USGS) to have been about 1.26 million metric tons (Mt), one half of which was mined in the last 62 year period.” (Page 8)

 

1.26 Mt x 32,150.75 ounces/ton = 40.51 billion ounces + 2.46 billion (production from 2001-2005) = 42.97 billion ounces

 

Cumulative Silver Production = 42.97 billion ounces

 

Source 2 (multiple)

 

The History of Silver (3000BC-1493AD)

 

Time Period

Annual Production

Period Total

3000BC-600BC

0.75 million ounces

Est. 1.8 billion ounces

601BC-1000AD

1.5 million ounces

Est. 2.4 billion ounces

1001AD-1492AD

7 million ounces

Est. 3.4 billion ounces

Grand Total

 

7.6 billion ounces

 

 

Bureau of Mines Minerals Yearbook (1493-1930)

(Billions of Ounces)

 

Total World Production

Time Span

Total Amount

1493-1930

14.97B

 

 

Bureau of Mines Minerals Yearbook (1931-1993)

The Silver Institute (1995-2004)

(millions of ounces)

 

Year(s)

World Production*

Year(s)

World Production*

Year(s)

World Production*

1931

195.6

1956

222.4

1980

341.4

1932

164.9

1952-56

220.7 (avg.)

1981

361.6

1933

169.2

1957

231.1

1982

383.0

1934

190.4

1958

239.0

1983

392.0

1935

215.9

1959

221.9

1984

415.2

1936

250.2

1960

240.2

1985

412.3

1937

276.7

1961

231.8

1986

419.0

1938

267.7

1962

242.4

1987

445.1

1939

266.0

1963

250.8

1988

460.8

1940

275.7

1964

249.5

1989

474.5

1941

267.0

1965

251.0

1990

485.7

1942

249.6

1966

253.1

1991

503.9

1943

217.0

1967

266.7

1992

473.8

1944

186.2

1968

275.3

1993

453.0

1945

157.0

1969

290.5

1994

446.9

1946

129.0

1970

301.7

1995

483.0

1947

156.8

1971

294.7

1996

491.0

1948

173.2

1972

301.5

1997

520.7

1949

173.8

1973

308.0

1998

544.0

1950

203.0

1974

294.9

1999

548.5

1951

199.1

1975

294.3

2000

587.3

1952

216.8

1976

316.4

2001

611.8

1953

216.4

1977

340.3

2002

607.4

1954

214.2

1978

344.4

2003

611.2

1955

223.4

1979

346.0

2004